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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized over the central 
tropical Atlantic in association with the remnants of Gordon.  This 
system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its 
northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the 
next couple of days.  Environmental conditions could become more 
conducive for development later this week, and a tropical depression 
or storm could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly 
northward over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early 
next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  Thereafter, some 
slow development of this system is possible through the middle 
of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest 
over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Pasch