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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized over the central 
tropical Atlantic in association with the remnants of Gordon. This 
system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its north 
while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the next 
couple of days. Environmental conditions could become more conducive 
for development later this week, and a tropical depression or storm 
could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly northward 
over the central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form this weekend over the 
northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter, some slow development of 
this system is possible through early next week while it moves 
slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean 
Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Papin