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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Francine, located over southern Louisiana, and on Tropical 
Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
A weak area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. 
Development of this system is not likely while it moves westward at 
around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the 
east of the Leeward Islands is producing a few disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is 
expected to limit additional development over the next couple of 
days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by 
this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along 
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern 
U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development 
is possible during the early part of next week while the system 
drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Pasch