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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Francine, located just south of Louisiana, and on newly formed 
Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions appear marginally 
conducive for some slight development during the next day or two 
while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the 
central tropical Atlantic.  The disturbance is expected to reach an 
area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its 
chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A small but well-defined area of low pressure located several 
hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing  
limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The proximity of dry 
air near the system is expected to limit additional development 
over the next couple of days before environmental conditions 
become even less conducive by this weekend while it moves slowly 
west-northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S. over the Western Atlantic:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along 
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the 
southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or 
tropical development is possible during the early part of next week 
while the system drifts to the north or northwest.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued 
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued 
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Bann/Blake