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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Francine, located over the western Gulf of Mexico.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions appear marginally 
conducive for some slight development during the next day or two 
while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central 
tropical Atlantic.  The disturbance is expected to reach an area of 
stronger upper-level winds on Thursday, likely ending its chances 
for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL93):
A trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is 
producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms 
from near the Cabo Verde Islands extending southwestward for 
several hundred miles.  Environmental conditions appear favorable 
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression 
will likely form during the latter part of this week while the 
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Pasch