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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Francine, located in the Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles 
offshore of northeastern Mexico.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only 
marginally conducive for some slight development during the next 
couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during 
that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the 
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to interact and merge with a 
strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and 
the Cabo Verde Islands over the next couple of days. Thereafter, 
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of 
this combined system, and a tropical depression will likely form 
during the latter part of this week while the system moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Papin