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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Francine, located about 100 miles offshore of northeastern 
Mexico.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
An elongated area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic 
is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. 
Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some 
slight development during the next couple of days, but a tropical 
depression could still form during that time while the system moves 
westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to merge in a couple of days with 
a strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and 
the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear favorable 
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression 
will likely form during the latter part of this week while the 
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart