ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Francine, located roughly 100 miles offshore of northeastern 
Mexico.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
An elongated area of low pressure over the central tropical 
Atlantic is producing limited shower activity.  Environmental 
conditions appear only marginally conducive for some slight 
development during the next couple of days, but a tropical 
depression could still form during that time while the system 
meanders over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to merge in a couple of days 
with a strong tropical wave currently located just offshore of the 
western coast of Africa.  Environmental conditions appear favorable 
for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression 
will likely form during the latter part of this week while the 
system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Hagen