ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone Six, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): 
An area of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic.  Environmental 
conditions are marginally conducive for development during the next 
few days, and a tropical depression could form while the system 
meanders over the central tropical Atlantic.  By the middle part of 
the week, the system is forecast to move westward-northwestward at 
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles 
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a broad area 
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  In a couple of days, 
this trough is expected to interact with an approaching tropical 
wave.  Afterward, Environmental conditions appear favorable for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could 
form during the middle to latter part of this week while the system 
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued 
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. 
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Six are issued 
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

Forecaster Roberts