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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 4 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northwestern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east 
of North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  This system could acquire some subtropical 
characteristics over the next few days as it moves north- 
northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States. 
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave moving quickly westward at about 20 mph is producing 
a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms across 
portions of the central Caribbean Sea.  Some development is possible 
early next week when the system moves over the southwestern Gulf of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

3. Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the 
Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm 
activity.  Development of this system, if any, is expected to be 
slow to occur over the next couple of days while it moves 
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Environmental conditions are 
expected to become less favorable for additional development by the 
end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical 
Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some 
slow development of this system is possible during the next few days 
while it drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service 
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online 
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Hagen