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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 3 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Caribbean Sea: 
A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms 
over Hispaniola and portions of the central Caribbean Sea.  
This system is expected to move westward, and a tropical depression 
could form when it reaches the western Caribbean Sea and the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week or over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions 
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and 
a tropical depression could form later this week while the 
disturbance moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over 
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.  This system could produce 
locally heavy rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo 
Verde Islands in a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Central Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
Another tropical wave located about midway between the west coast 
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles is producing disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms.  Some slow development is possible during the 
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward.  By 
the end of the week, however, environmental conditions are expected 
to become unfavorable for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi/R. Zelinsky