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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 2 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Caribbean Sea:
A westward-moving tropical wave is producing disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms accompanied by locally heavy rainfall and strong 
gusty winds over portions of the eastern Caribbean Sea and the 
adjacent land areas.  Environmental conditions are forecast to 
become more conducive for development when the system reaches the 
western Caribbean Sea and southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this week 
and over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form during 
that time.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over the far eastern Atlantic is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions 
are forecast to become a little more conducive for development, and 
a tropical depression could form in a few days while the disturbance 
moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward over the eastern 
tropical Atlantic Ocean.  This system could produce locally heavy 
rains and gusty winds across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands in 
a day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Pasch