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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Sep 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing 
limited shower activity along and just offshore of the coasts of 
Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger near the 
coast through much of this week, and some slow development is 
possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, heavy 
rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal 
Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several 
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to show some 
signs of organization. Slow development is possible as the 
disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on 
Monday.  Later this week, the wave is expected to move across the 
central and western Caribbean Sea, where conditions will probably 
become more conducive for some development, and a tropical 
depression could form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on 
Monday.  Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some 
slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly 
westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic 
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Blake