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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 31 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure near the upper Texas coast is producing 
some disorganized showers and thunderstorms along and just offshore 
the coasts of Texas and Louisiana. This system is expected to linger 
near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development 
is possible if it meanders offshore. Regardless of development, 
heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of 
coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few 
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Shower activity associated with a tropical wave located several 
hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has become a little 
better organized since yesterday. Slow development is possible 
as the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser 
Antilles on Monday.  Later next week, the disturbance is expected 
to move across the central and western Caribbean Sea, where 
conditions could become more conducive for development, and a 
tropical depression could form during that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Forecaster Beven