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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Northwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A surface trough of low pressure over the northwestern Gulf of 
Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms along and just offshore the coasts of Texas and 
Louisiana.  This system is expected to meander near the coast 
through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if 
it remains offshore.  Regardless of development, heavy rains could 
cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and 
the upper Texas coast during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave over the 
central tropical Atlantic remain disorganized.  Gradual development 
of this system is possible during the next few days, and a tropical 
depression could form some time next week while it moves westward, 
reaching the Lesser Antilles on Monday and continuing across the 
Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo 
Verde Islands is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm 
activity.  Some slow development of this system is possible through 
late next week while it moves slowly to the west-northwest over the 
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Berg