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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of 
organization in association with a tropical wave located roughly 
midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system during the next few days while it moves westward to 
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central tropical 
Atlantic. A tropical depression is likely to form by the early to 
middle part of next week while the system approaches and then moves 
near or over the Lesser Antilles, and interests there should monitor 
the progress of this system. Then, the system is forecast to move 
generally west-northwestward and could approach portions of the 
Greater Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.


Forecaster Papin