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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Straits of Florida and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97):
A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the 
southeastern Bahamas, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern 
Atlantic.  The wave is expected to move west-northwestward near or 
over Cuba on Friday and then emerge over the Straits of Florida 
Friday night or Saturday.  Environmental conditions are expected to 
be conducive for additional development after that time, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the Straits 
of Florida or eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula.  

Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause areas of flash 
flooding across Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas through the weekend, 
and interests in these locations should continue to monitor the 
progress of this system.  A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 
scheduled to investigate this system on Friday, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Berg