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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico:
A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto 
Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the adjacent waters of the 
southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of 
this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days 
while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater 
Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more 
conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater 
Antilles, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early 
next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or near the Florida 
Peninsula. Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and 
Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Beven