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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms over Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the Leeward 
Islands, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic and 
northeastern Caribbean Sea.  Development of this system is not 
anticipated during the next few days while it moves 
west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles.  However, 
environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for 
development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a 
tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week over 
the eastern Gulf of Mexico or far southwestern Atlantic Ocean, 
including in the vicinity of Florida.  Interests across the Greater 
Antilles, Bahamas, and Florida should continue to monitor the 
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Berg