ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Beryl, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. 

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): 
An area of low pressure located over the southern portion 
of the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
further development, and a short-lived tropical depression could 
form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday morning.  
Interests along the Gulf Coast of Mexico should monitor the 
progress of this system.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall 
associated with the area of low pressure will continue to affect 
portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week.  An 
Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the 
system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of 
low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo 
Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves 
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Roberts