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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 30 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Beryl, located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. 

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): 
A broad area of low pressure is over the Bay of Campeche with 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions 
appear generally conducive for further development, and a 
short-lived tropical depression could form before the system moves 
inland over Mexico on Monday.  Interests along the Gulf coast of 
Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure 
will continue affect portions of Central America and Mexico through 
early next week.  An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled 
to investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that an area of low 
pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde 
Islands has become better organized.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form by the midweek while it moves 
generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Bucci