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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on 
recently-upgraded Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central 
tropical Atlantic Ocean. 

1. Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): 
A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea 
near the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula continues to produce 
widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. 
Development of this low is not anticipated before it moves inland 
over the Yucatan Peninsula later today. The system is then forecast 
to move west-northwestward, emerging over the Bay of Campeche 
tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally conducive 
for further development. A tropical depression could form before the 
system moves inland again early next week over Mexico. Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure 
will affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early 
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
additional development of this system, and a tropical depression 
could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally 
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical 
Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO 
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO 
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Beven