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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed 
Tropical Depression Two, located over the central tropical Atlantic 
Ocean. 

1. Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): 
A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea 
continues to produce widespread but disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity. Development of this low is not anticipated 
before it moves inland over the Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday. The 
system is then forecast to move west-northwestward, emerging over 
the Bay of Campeche Saturday night or early Sunday, where conditions 
appear generally conducive for further development. A tropical 
depression could form before the system moves inland again early 
next week over Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall 
associated with the area of low pressure will affect portions of 
Central America and Mexico through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear generally conducive 
for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression 
could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally 
westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical 
Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO 
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two are issued under WMO 
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Forecaster Papin