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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea is 
producing widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm 
activity while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.  Some 
development of this system is possible over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the 
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles 
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical 
depression or tropical storm is likely to form over the next day or 
two. This system is expected to move westward at 15 to 20 mph 
towards the Windward Islands.  Interests in the Lesser Antilles 
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave centered a few hundred miles south-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Some slow development of this system is possible 
early next week while it moves generally westward across the central 
and western tropical Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Forecaster Kelly