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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure over the western Caribbean Sea is 
producing widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm 
activity while it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.  Some 
development of this system is possible over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea or over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the 
next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive, and development of this system is anticipated.  A 
tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form this weekend 
several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands while the system 
moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.  Interests in the Lesser Antilles 
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Pasch/Roberts