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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Western Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):
A tropical wave over the west-central Caribbean Sea is producing 
widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity while 
it moves rapidly westward at around 25 mph.  Environmental 
conditions could become more conducive for some gradual development 
later this week over the western Caribbean Sea or over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo 
Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
unusually conducive for late June across the central and western 
tropical Atlantic, and further development of this system is 
anticipated.  A tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to 
form this weekend several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands 
while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Bucci