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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of 
Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear to have become a 
little more marginal for development of this system as it moves 
slowly northwestward, but a tropical depression could still form 
before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico 
Sunday night.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely 
to cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico 
and Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend.  An Air Force 
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating the 
disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Near the Georgia Coast (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system 
centered just inland over southeastern Georgia have decreased 
during the past several hours.  The low is expected to drift slowly 
north-northeastward near the coasts of Georgia and southern South 
Carolina through tonight before dissipating by Sunday.  Tropical 
cyclone formation is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Berg