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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
A broad low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of 
Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system as it moves slowly 
west-northwestward or northwestward, and a tropical depression could 
form before the system reaches the coast of northeastern Mexico 
Sunday night.  Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could 
cause localized flooding across portions of northeastern Mexico and 
Deep South Texas through the end of the weekend.  An Air Force 
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this 
system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Near the Georgia Coast (AL92):
A low pressure system centered inland over southeastern Georgia is 
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly over the 
coastal waters off of northeastern Florida and Georgia.  The low 
is expected to drift slowly northwestward or northward today before 
dissipating tonight.  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Berg