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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
Satellite imagery, surface observations, and National Weather 
Service Doppler radar data indicate that the well-defined low 
pressure area is moving inland over southeastern Georgia.  
Therefore, tropical cyclone formation from this system is not 
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of 
low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system 
as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a 
tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico 
this weekend.  Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Forecaster Beven