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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
Satellite imagery and National Weather Service Doppler radar data 
indicate that the well-defined low pressure area located about 40 
miles southeast of Brunswick, Georgia, is producing only minimal 
shower and thunderstorm activity at this time.  The low is likely 
to move inland during the next several hours, and the chances of 
the system becoming a tropical depression are decreasing.  
However, interests along the coasts of Georgia and northeastern 
Florida should continue to monitor the progress of the system until 
it moves inland.  For more information, refer to High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, as well as local 
forecasts issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast 
Office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of 
low pressure is forming over the Bay of Campeche.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system 
as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a 
tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico 
this weekend.  Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.  Local National 
Weather Service forecasts can be found at www.weather.gov.

Forecaster Beven