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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center has written the last advisory on the 
remnants of Alberto, which are located inland over northeastern 
Mexico.

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
Satellite imagery shows that shower activity associated with the 
area of low pressure located about 175 miles north-northeast of the 
northern Bahamas has become a little better organized during the 
past 24 hours.  However, earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter 
aircraft data indicated that the system does not have a well-defined 
circulation.  Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive 
for additional development and this system could become a tropical 
depression while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  
The system is expected to approach the northeastern coast of Florida 
or the Georgia coast early on Friday, and interests there should 
monitor the progress of the system.  Another Air Force Reserve 
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Friday morning, 
if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern 
Mexico and northern Central America on Friday.  Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this 
system moves over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, and a tropical 
depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this 
weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.


Forecaster Beven