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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 18 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems: 
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential 
Tropical Cyclone One, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

1. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
An area of cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles east 
of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough and an 
upper-level area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions could be 
conducive for some gradual development of this system during the 
next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward.  The 
system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeastern United 
States on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions 
are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system 
early next week while it moves slowly northward or northwestward. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued 
under WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone One are issued 
under WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

Forecaster Hagen/Pasch