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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico in a day or two. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, 
and a tropical depression could form by midweek while it moves 
slowly westward or west-northwestward.  Regardless of development, 
several days of heavy rainfall are expected across portions of 
southern Mexico and Central America.  These rains are likely to 
cause life-threatening flooding and flash flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form by midweek a few 
hundred miles northeast of the central Bahamas.  Environmental 
conditions could be conducive for some development of this system 
thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Blake