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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that the low 
pressure area offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast is moving 
northeastward into the open Atlantic.  This system is expected to 
merge with with a front over the weekend, and the chances of 
tropical cyclone development are decreasing.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across portions 
of the Florida peninsula through Saturday. For more information, 
see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and local 
National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early 
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


Weather Prediction Center products can be found at 
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast 
information can be found at www.weather.gov

Forecaster Beven