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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure offshore of the southeastern U.S. 
coast continues to produce some disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Despite strong upper-level winds, some gradual 
development is possible while the system moves northeastward 
offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast during the next day or so. 
By this weekend, the system is forecast to merge with a front over 
the western Atlantic. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is 
forecast to continue across portions of the Florida peninsula 
through late this week. For more information, see products issued by 
the Weather Prediction Center and local National Weather Service 
Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early 
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Weather Prediction Center products can be found at 
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast 
information can be found at www.weather.gov

Forecaster Reinhart