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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure offshore the coast of Florida is 
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Despite strong upper-level winds, some gradual development is 
possible while the system moves northeastward offshore of the 
southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of days. Regardless 
of development, heavy rainfall is forecast to continue across 
portions of the Florida peninsula through late this week. For more 
information, see products issued by the Weather Prediction Center 
and local National Weather Service Forecast Offices.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend or early next week. 
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression could form during the early 
or middle part of next week while it moves slowly westward or 
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.


Weather Prediction Center products can be found at 
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov and National Weather Service forecast 
information can be found at www.weather.gov

Forecaster Kelly