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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 28 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
East of the Windward Islands:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Two, located a few hundred miles east of the
southern Windward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
1. Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of low pressure is centered over the northwestern Gulf of
Mexico. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the low has
increased overnight but remains disorganized. Some additional
development of this system is possible as it moves slowly westward
or west-southwestward and approaches the coast of Texas during the
next two days. Regardless of development, heavy rain will be
possible along portions of the Texas coast later this week. For more
information about the potential for heavy rain, please see products
issued by your National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located more than 1000 miles east of the Windward
Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
This system is forecast to interact with another tropical wave to
its east over the next several days, and some gradual development is
possible later this week while the overall system moves
west-northwestward at around 15 mph across the central tropical
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
Forecaster D. Zelinsky