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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 28 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Ida, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical 
Depression Ten, located over the central tropical Atlantic. 

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with an area of low pressure located over the central 
Atlantic.  In addition, satellite wind data indicate that the 
circulation has become a little better defined. Although 
environmental conditions remain only marginally conducive for 
further development, only a slight increase in organization would 
result in the formation of a tropical depression later today or 
tonight.  In a couple of days, the system is forecast to be 
absorbed by a frontal system.  The disturbance is expected to drift 
eastward through today, then accelerate northeastward Sunday toward 
the central north Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of west Africa 
by the middle of next week.  Thereafter, environmental conditions 
appear somewhat conducive for gradual development toward the end of 
next week as the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO 
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under 
WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

Forecaster Roberts




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