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Tropical Weather Outlook Text


Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Paulette, located several hundred miles south-southeast of Cape 
Race, Newfoundland, on Hurricane Sally, centered inland near Gulf 
Shores, Alabama, on recently upgraded Hurricane Teddy, located over 
the central tropical Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Vicky, located 
over the eastern tropical Atlantic. 

1. An area of low pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is 
producing showers and thunderstorms that have become a little better 
organized during the past several hours.  Upper-level winds are 
forecast to gradually become more conducive for development, and a 
tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend 
while the low meanders over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the 
next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of 
low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the 
Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions are conducive for 
development of this system and a tropical depression is likely to 
form during the next few days while the system moves generally 
westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far 
northeastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles northeast of the 
Azores.  This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics 
while it moves southeastward and eastward at about 10 mph during 
the next few days.  For more information on this system, see 
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at 

Forecaster Roberts

List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - present)
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