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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Aug 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Josephine, located a couple of hundred miles northeast of San 
Juan, Puerto Rico.  The National Hurricane Center has issued the 
last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle, located several hundred 
miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

1. A fast-moving tropical wave located about 850 miles east of the 
Windward Islands is producing a small area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms.  This system is expected to move westward at 
about 20 mph during the next few days, and that fast speed is likely 
to limit development while the system approaches the Windward and 
southern Leeward Islands today and Monday and moves across the 
eastern Caribbean Sea on Tuesday.  After that time, the system is 
expected to move more slowly westward across the central and western 
Caribbean Sea, and upper-level winds could be conducive for 
development during the middle to latter part of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. Another tropical wave located just west of the coast of Africa is 
producing a large area of cloudiness and showers.  This wave is 
forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days, 
and some development will be possible by the middle to latter part 
of the week as environmental conditions become more conducive while 
the system is over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Brown




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