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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1145 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Outlook issued to update discussion on low pressure near
the Texas coast.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Humberto, located more than 500 miles west of Bermuda.  The
National Hurricane center is also issuing advisories on newly
formed Tropical Depression Ten, located more than 1000 miles east of
the Leeward Islands.

1. Updated: Recent satellite, radar, and surface data show that the
area of low pressure located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico
near the Texas coast has become better defined this morning.  The
associated thunderstorm activity has also increased and become a
little better organized.  If these development trends continue, a
tropical depression could form before the system moves inland later
today or tonight, but significant additional development is not
likely once the system moves inland.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and flooding remain the
primary hazards with this system.  This disturbance is expected to
produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches with isolated
maximum totals of 15 inches across the upper coastal region of Texas
into far southwest Louisiana through Thursday.  This rainfall may
produce life-threatening flash floods.  For additional information,
see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the
Weather Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under
WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under
WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

Forecaster Brown

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