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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 5 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

1. An area of low pressure located near Cabo Gracias a Dios on the
eastern border of Honduras and Nicaragua is accompanied by an
extensive area of disturbed weather extending from Central America
eastward across Hispaniola.  Although strong winds aloft are located
just to the north of this system, the upper-level environment is
expected to be conducive enough to allow for some development, and a
tropical depression could form by late this weekend or early next
week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico
while the system moves slowly northwestward.  Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, this disturbance will continue to bring
torrential rains primarily to portions of Central America and the
Yucatan peninsula during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Berg




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