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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

800 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms is
associated with a tropical wave located in the central Caribbean
Sea. Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more
favorable for development on Saturday while the wave moves into the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. However, land interaction will likely
limit significant development as the disturbance moves across the
Yucatan peninsula on Sunday. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for some gradual development once the system moves
into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Brennan

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