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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, located a little over a hundred miles north of the northern 
Leeward Islands.

1. Northwestern Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located off the coast of North Carolina is 
producing limited disorganized shower activity to the east of the 
center. Some slight development of this system is possible over the 
next day or so while it moves little over the warm waters of the 
Gulf Stream. By Monday, environmental conditions are expected to 
become unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



Forecaster Kelly