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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 20 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific:
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the coast of 
southern Mexico is producing a large area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could 
form late this week as it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph, 
remaining well offshore of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.



Forecaster Jelsema