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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 12 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
A large area of showers and thunderstorms, located a couple of 
hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico, is associated 
with an elongated area of low pressure.  Little development is 
expected to occur during the next few days while it meanders well 
offshore.  Towards the end of the work week, environmental 
conditions appear more conducive for development, and a tropical 
depression could form while the system drifts northward then 
northwestward near or just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Blake