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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Jul 19 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Well Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula: 
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over 
1300 miles southwest of the Baja California peninsula is associated 
with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are marginally 
conducive for development during the next few days as the system 
moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. However, by the early to 
middle part of next week, conditions are expected to become 
unfavorable for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.



Forecaster Bucci