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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Jul 6 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. Central East Pacific (EP96):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms persist in association with 
an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south of the 
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  This system could 
still become a short-lived tropical depression before it moves 
westward into unfavorable environmental conditions on Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. South of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure could form several hundred miles offshore of 
southwestern Mexico late this week.  Some gradual development of 
this system is possible thereafter while it moves generally 
west-northwestward well off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Forecaster Hagen