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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 5 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico:
Two areas of low pressure are forecast to form from a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms that are currently located
several hundred miles south of southern Mexico. One low is expected
to form on the east side of an elongated trough during the next day
or so a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves
generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
A second low pressure area is forecast to form on the western
side of the elongated trough south of Mexico in a couple of days.
Some slow development of this system is possible over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Cangialosi/Jelsema