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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon Jun 26 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Off the Southern and Southwestern Coast of Mexico:
An elongated trough of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south of the southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce a 
large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental 
conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of 
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
middle part of this week as the system moves generally 
west-northwestward, parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico and Central America:
A broad area of low pressure area is located a few hundred miles 
southwest of the coast of Costa Rica. Some gradual development of 
this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical 
depression could form during the middle to latter part of this week 
while it moves slowly west-northwestward, remaining offshore of the 
southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Papin/Pasch